⚠ CONFIDENTIAL · INTERNAL USE ONLY · DO NOT DISTRIBUTE

Chile Strategic Action Plan — Displacing the Tire-Disposal Incumbent

Wedge analysis · 90-day playbook · regulatory escalation paths · political risk management · 6-month milestones
Prepared April 2026 · Based on field intelligence — verify before any external action · For Denis Brassard / AT executive review
$400-500/t
Validated price point
What Chilean mines already pay
~500 kt
Disclosed Chile stockpile
Growing ~15 kt/month — physical evidence of incumbent gap
2027
Ley REP 75% milestone
Court-enforced · 18 months out
2030
Ley REP 100% mandate
Mining-tire recycling required

1 · Executive summary

The opportunity. Chilean mining majors are paying ~$400-500/ton to a primary tire-disposal incumbent (publicly: Rembre / rembre.cl) under Ley REP framework (leyrep.cl). Field intelligence indicates the incumbent is accumulating tires rather than completing documented disposal — collecting compliance fees while creating a stockpile that grows ~15 kt/month. If verified, this represents a regulatory-capture vulnerability of the highest order: the mines are paying for an outcome they're not receiving, and they carry the legal liability when Ley REP audits demand documented final destination.

The Americans Trades position. Fully audited, legal, compliance-grade end-of-life chain: La Negra cutting yard · documented chain-of-custody · permitted destination in South Asia · PSI inspections · audit-ready dashboards. Same fee point as the incumbent. Different — and defensible — outcome.

The strategic thesis. Don't compete on price (we match). Don't attack the incumbent publicly (political risk). Compete on legitimacy. Run three parallel tracks that force the market to choose between paying the same fee for documented disposal (us) or paying the same fee for a legally-exposed accumulation (them). The mines, importers, and regulator all eventually choose us — the only question is which track triggers the switch first.

⚠ A note on the Rembre intel before action

The user-reported intelligence about Rembre stockpiling without documented disposal is the wedge of this entire plan. Before any external move that names or implies the incumbent, verify with: (a) public records (MMA reports, Ley REP filings, environmental permit registries); (b) journalist contacts who cover Chilean mining ESG; (c) at least one mining-industry source who has worked with the incumbent. If verified, the plan below proceeds. If the intel doesn't hold up, the plan still works — the chain-of-custody question alone surfaces the gap, even without naming a competitor.

2 · Why this is winnable

The legal wedge

Ley 20.920 places liability on the producer (the mine), not the vendor. If the incumbent can't produce documented final destination, the mine fails its own audit — regardless of contract.

The physical evidence

The 500 kt stockpile is publicly disclosed (Kal Tire). It's growing. Every additional month, the incumbent's "we're processing it" story gets harder to defend.

The 2027 deadline

75% mining-tire recycling mandate is court-enforced and only 18 months out. Mines that arrive at audit unprepared face material legal exposure and ESG disclosure failures.

The destination chain

Pakistan/South Asia pyrolysis demand is real and documented. AT can prove tonnage flows through to a legitimate downstream end-use. The incumbent's "domestic processing" story has no comparable proof.

The audit shift

2024-2026 ESG audit standards (Big Four + ICMM) are tightening on Scope 3 waste-stream documentation. ESG auditors are now asking the questions that didn't exist 3 years ago.

The mines' incentive

Mines pay $400/t whether the tires get processed or stockpiled. Their cost doesn't go down by switching — but their audit risk does. Rational decision: switch.

3 · Three parallel attack vectors

Run all three concurrently. Whichever lands first triggers the switch — and the others reinforce.

VECTOR 1 · Direct mining-client engagement (the audit question)Highest leverage

The play. Walk into procurement and sustainability conversations at Codelco, BHP Escondida, Antofagasta Minerals, Anglo American Chile and Glencore Collahuasi with a single question: "Can your current tire-disposal vendor produce, in writing, the documented final destination of every ton you've paid to dispose of in the last 24 months?" Hand them the chain-of-custody self-audit one-pager (already built). Don't name the incumbent. Let the mine's own internal verification fail.

Sequence: Open with the question · hand the audit one-pager · calendar 30-day follow-up · let internal verification surface the gap · come back with the spot-test offer.

Proof-of-concept ask: 100-tire spot test (already modeled — 530 t · 25 containers · ~70-day cycle · ~$64K margin). Side-by-side: AT delivers the documented disposal under the SAME fee structure the incumbent is already collecting.

Target accounts (priority order): Codelco (state-owned, highest audit pressure) · BHP Escondida (CAT 798 fleet conversion creates one-time disposal pulse) · Antofagasta Minerals (London-listed, strict ESG KPIs) · Anglo American Chile · Glencore Collahuasi.

Risk: Mines may be politically aligned with the incumbent. Mitigation: lead with their auditors and sustainability functions, not procurement (which may have signed the original contract).

VECTOR 2 · Regulatory escalation (MMA Chile + Ley REP authority)Highest structural leverage

The play. File a discreet position paper with the MMA's Oficina de Economía Circular and the Ley REP authority (leyrep.cl) addressing a clarifying question: "Does material accumulated at a domestic vendor's yard, without documented onward processing or final destination, satisfy the Ley REP recycling-rate compliance requirement?" Frame it as a technical inquiry from a candidate compliance operator seeking guidance for our own program design — NOT as an accusation.

Why this matters: If the MMA clarifies that "stockpiling without documented downstream destination" does not satisfy compliance, every mine using the incumbent loses Ley REP coverage overnight. The market is forced. AT becomes the natural alternative they call.

The framing: AT is "a certified operator preparing to enter the market with full chain-of-custody documentation including export to permitted overseas processing facilities, and we want to confirm with the authority that this approach satisfies Ley REP." We are seeking validation, not casting blame.

Likely outcome: 60-90 days for MMA to respond. Even an informal verbal answer ("yes, you need documented downstream destination, not just receipt") is enough to use in mining-client conversations: "We confirmed with the MMA that documented disposal requires a verified final destination. Here's our approach. What does your current vendor's documentation look like?"

Risk: If the incumbent has political connections inside MMA, our inquiry could leak and trigger pre-emptive action by them. Mitigation: deliver via a Chilean lawyer (not direct), frame as candidate-operator guidance request, deliver to the technical team (Economía Circular technical staff) not the political appointees.

VECTOR 3 · Tire importer / OEM consortium (the people legally on the hook)High leverage

The play. Under Ley REP, tire importers (Michelin Chile, Bridgestone Chile, Goodyear Chile, Continental, Pirelli) are the legal producers responsible for ensuring tires they sell are recycled. They contract operators like Rembre to do this on their behalf — but the legal liability stays with them. Approach the importer consortium (CAMCHAL — Camara de Comercio Chileno-Alemana hosts importer working groups; or directly to each importer's compliance/sustainability lead) with the same chain-of-custody question.

Why this works: Tire importers face Ley REP fines that scale with non-compliance. They're the ones who write the compliance check to the operator. If they can't validate that the operator is actually disposing rather than stockpiling, they personally carry the audit liability — not the operator. They have the strongest motivation to switch.

Sequence: Compliance / regulatory leads at Michelin Chile and Bridgestone Chile first (they're already AT's familiar names from prior account analysis) · approach as a "compliance complement / backup capacity partner" rather than a Rembre replacement · let them quietly redirect volumes once we're approved.

Risk: Tire importers don't want to publicly distance themselves from incumbent vendors (no one wants to admit their compliance partner was inadequate). Mitigation: position as "expanding capacity," not "replacing failed vendor." Quiet redirection rather than public switch.

4 · What AT must have ready before the offensive

If our pitch is "documented chain of custody," our documentation has to be excessive — visibly, demonstrably, audit-impossible-to-challenge.

AssetOwnerStatusPre-offensive deadline
Chilean SpA incorporated, RUT issued, Aduanas exporter statusChilean lawyer + DenisIn-flight (per checklist)Week 8
La Negra yard lease term sheet signableLocal brokerNegotiate earlyWeek 4
Environmental DIA filed with SEREMI Salud AntofagastaEnvironmental consultantLong-lead (4-12 weeks)Week 2 (start filing)
Pakistan offtake LOI from buyer ($50/t CIF Karachi)DenisCritical-pathWeek 4
3 ocean-carrier quotes (Antofagasta → Karachi)Freight forwarderEasyWeek 4
SGS or Bureau Veritas PSI service contractDenisStandardWeek 6
Chain-of-custody dashboard (digital · client-accessible)Tech / outsourcedDifferentiatorWeek 8
Sample documentation pack (template DUS, BoL, PSI cert, NOC, photos)Denis + lawyerMock until first shipmentWeek 6
Audit-grade insurance: marine cargo + environmental liabilityInsurance brokerStandardWeek 8
Big-4 ESG-audit relationship (KPMG, EY, or Deloitte Chile)DenisForce-multiplierWeek 12

5 · Political risk management

If the incumbent is "very political implicated," frontal assault is futile. The plan must succeed without depending on the political dimension to flip.

What we DON'T do

  • Don't name Rembre publicly in any external document
  • Don't accuse anyone of fraud or non-compliance — let the mine's own audit surface the gap
  • Don't go to media or industry press first
  • Don't lobby Chilean Congress to change Ley REP — too slow and political
  • Don't try to outmuscle them on procurement bids — their political relationships will out-pull us

What we DO instead

  • Ask the audit question — let the mine's own auditors find the gap
  • File MMA inquiry as a candidate operator seeking technical clarification
  • Build importer-consortium relationships in parallel
  • Position as "additional capacity" not "replacement" — face-saving for everyone involved
  • Let our chain-of-custody dashboard speak for itself · the comparison becomes self-evident

If the incumbent counter-attacks

  • Most likely move: lobby their political contacts to slow our SpA permits or DIA approval
  • Mitigation: file all permits in parallel, multiple jurisdictions, with multiple lawyers
  • Big-4 ESG-audit relationship is air cover · they don't want to be seen blocking a properly documented operator
  • Backup: a Mexican or Peruvian operating entity routes around any Chile-specific blocking moves

If the incumbent quietly fixes their gap

  • Best-case scenario for the market actually — Ley REP works as designed
  • AT still has a defensible offer: South Asia destination + audit-grade documentation + price-competitive
  • The market is large enough for a second operator if both are legitimate
  • Even if we don't displace 100%, taking 30% of Chilean mining OTR is still ~12 kt/year — a meaningful business

6 · Evidence plan — what to verify before public action

Before any move that names the incumbent or implies regulatory non-compliance, gather these.

Evidence itemSourceHow
Rembre's published recycling capacity vs declared volumes receivedMMA public registry · Ley REP filings · Rembre annual disclosuresChilean lawyer pulls public records
SEREMI Salud / SMA inspection records for Rembre facilityTransparency law (Ley 20.285) requestLawyer files Ley de Transparencia request
Recent enforcement actions or warningsSMA (Superintendencia del Medio Ambiente) public actions databaseDirect database search · annual reports
Industry whisper-network on stockpiling rumoursMining industry contacts · former Rembre employees · Antofagasta tire-industry communityDiscreet conversations · LinkedIn · industry events
Press coverage in El Mercurio · La Tercera · Diario Financiero on Chilean tire-stockpile issueChilean business and environmental press archivesDatabase search · news monitoring service
Codelco / BHP / Antofagasta sustainability reports — any unattributed mention of "stockpile" or "accumulation" or "disposal challenges"Public ESG filingsDirect review
Rembre's political and shareholder structureDiario Oficial · Conservador de Comercio · transparency disclosuresLawyer pulls corporate records

Discipline: Don't act on any single piece. Wait until at least 3 of the above corroborate the stockpiling thesis. If the evidence doesn't materialize, the plan still works on the chain-of-custody question alone — we just don't get the structural attack vector.

7 · 90-day playbook

WeekVector 1 · Mining clientsVector 2 · RegulatorVector 3 · ImportersOperational readiness
1-2Engage Chilean lawyer · prepare audit one-pager Spanish version · identify the 5 priority mining contactsLawyer prepares MMA technical inquiry letter (candidate-operator framing)Map importer consortium · identify CAMCHAL contactSign Chilean lawyer · draft SpA constitutive deed · engage environmental consultant
3-4Open conversations with Codelco supply + sustainability leads (separate tracks) · same with BHP EscondidaFile MMA technical inquiry · request informal meeting with Economía Circular teamIdentify 3 importer compliance leads (Michelin, Bridgestone, Continental)SpA filed · DIA scope finalized · La Negra yard term sheet drafted
5-6Antofagasta Minerals · Anglo American Chile · Glencore Collahuasi outreachFollow up on MMA inquiry · accept any meeting · don't pushFirst importer conversation (Michelin Chile most likely entry)Pakistan PO confirmed · 3 ocean-freight quotes received
7-8Internal-verification window with Codelco / BHP — let them stew · don't push · prepare spot-test proposalReceive (likely informal) MMA response · document the answerSecond importer follow-up · explore consortium-level conversation via CAMCHALSpA RUT issued · Aduanas exporter registration in flight · bank account opening
9-10Formal spot-test proposals to any positive-signal mines (Codelco / BHP / Antofagasta) · 100-tire / 25-container terms · same fee structureIf MMA response is favorable: use the answer in mining-client conversationsImporter-side spot-test proposal — backup capacity framingBank account live · DIA progressing · customs agent in Antofagasta retained
11-12Negotiate spot-test commercial terms · select first mine partner · sign LOIIf response not received: escalate respectfully · don't publicizeImporter LOI for backup-capacity arrangement (low volume initially)Operational readiness pre-shipment review · all docs in place · go/no-go decision

8 · 6-month milestones · what success looks like

By Month 3

  • SpA operational · DIA approved or in final review
  • 1 mining-client LOI signed for spot test (100-tire shipment)
  • MMA technical clarification in hand (formal or informal)
  • 1 tire-importer relationship at compliance/regulatory level

By Month 6

  • First spot-test shipment cleared to Karachi · documentation filed in mining-client audit pack
  • Second mining-client LOI · third in final negotiation
  • Big-4 ESG audit firm has reviewed AT documentation chain favorably
  • If incumbent vulnerable: first defection (mine switches to AT for Year-2 disposal contract)

By Month 12

  • 2 anchor mining MSAs signed · ~24,000 t under contract for Year 1
  • Stockpile drawdown discussion underway with MMA + importer consortium
  • Year-1 net contribution ~$4.7M (per financial model)
  • Position established as the documented-disposal alternative — switching cost for displacing AT now exceeds the political cost of leaving the incumbent in place

9 · Backstop scenarios — if the offensive doesn't go to plan

ScenarioProbabilityBackstop play
MMA refuses to respond to inquiryMediumUse the audit-question approach with mines anyway · the gap surfaces internally without regulator help
Mining clients close ranks · won't engage on the audit questionLowPivot to Vector 3 (importers) as the primary lever · they have stronger personal liability
Incumbent quietly fixes their gapMediumBest long-term outcome for the market · AT still wins on price-parity + South Asia destination credibility · target 30% market share
Incumbent actively blocks AT's permits politicallyMediumMulti-jurisdiction filing strategy · Big-4 ESG-audit air cover · backup operating entity in Peru as Plan B
Pakistan import policy tightens · destination chain breaksLowIndia + Vietnam + Indonesia identified as backup destinations · spot test validates flexibility
Incumbent counter-bids at lower priceLowDon't compete on price · compete on legitimacy · refer the mine to a Big-4 audit comparison
Public scandal breaks (good for us, hard for everyone)LowDon't celebrate · don't comment · let the mines come to us · stay professional

10 · What this requires from Denis & AT executive

The next 30 days — non-negotiable

  1. Engage Chilean corporate lawyer (within 7 days) · fixed-fee SpA + RUT + Aduanas + bank · target firm with foreign-investor + mining-export experience
  2. Engage environmental consultant in Antofagasta (within 7 days) · scope DIA · 4-12 week lead time
  3. Pakistan PO · written, dated, signed for first 100-tire shipment ($50/t CIF Karachi) · this is the keystone document
  4. Big-4 introduction (within 14 days) · KPMG, EY, or Deloitte Chile · Chilean mining-ESG audit lead · introduce yourself as the documented-disposal alternative
  5. Evidence-gathering · transparency-law request to MMA / SMA on Rembre permits and inspections (lawyer files this)

Capital required for this play

~$1.6M start-up CapEx (per financial model) · OR ~$1.1M if excavator leased · OR ~$120K if first spot test runs through partner-exporter while AT Chile SpA incorporates in parallel. Recommendation: spot-test-first (lowest capital exposure) while building the SpA.

11 · Closing strategic notes

The asymmetry of this opportunity is rare. The price point is validated. The product-market fit is proven (the mines are already paying). The incumbent's vulnerability is concrete and growing. AT's solution is — by every claim — fully audited, legal, and compliance-ready. The 2027 Ley REP milestone creates a forced-action timeline that doesn't favor inertia.

What wins is execution discipline. Don't confuse aggressive strategy with aggressive rhetoric. The mines, the regulator, and the importers all need to keep the option of "this was a normal vendor change, no scandal" — that face-saving lane is what unlocks the switch. Provide it. Compete on legitimacy, not noise.

What kills this play is impatience. 90-day playbook and 6-month milestones are realistic. Trying to compress to 30 days creates the political-blow-up risk we want to avoid. Run all three vectors in parallel · let the first that lands trigger the others · keep AT documentation excessive at every stage.

Americans Trades · Scrap Tire Disposal Division · April 2026 · CONFIDENTIAL — INTERNAL USE ONLY · Not a binding plan · Verify Rembre intelligence before any external action that names or implies the incumbent